Polymarket Trader

lucelo

0x64646feefb70f419a2e0b384a07e2cb2d3f599ad

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $35.5
Realized PnL: $258.95
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $185
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$1

ex-MANA eSports position

Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs STEP (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$80

No position

Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$36

Yes position

Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.44
Potential profit: $69.44
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Solana dip to $185 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.29
Potential profit: $63.29
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $20.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $29.5
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.18
Potential profit: $49.18
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Meteora FDV above $6B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.08
Potential profit: $42.08
User PnL: -$39.22

Yes position

Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$6.8

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.86
Potential profit: $19.86
User PnL: -$17.48

Yes position

Meteora FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.18
Potential profit: $16.18
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.5

Yes position

Will Trump's 538 approval rating be between 48.5% and 48.9% on February 21?

Ends Feb 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.5

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.94

Yes position

Dogecoin above $0.34 on January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.5

No position

Will Elon tweet less than 400 times Jan 10-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Solana above $190 on January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

No position

Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.9

No position

Ethereum above $3,400 on December 27?

Ends Dec 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Solana reach $185 in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.96

No position

Will Solana dip to $130 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

No position

Will Solana reach $180 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.61

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4700 in August?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.44

No position

Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.67

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.01

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59

No position

Will Ethereum reach $6000 in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

No position

Moonbirds FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Will Solana reach $350 in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 78% 200 shares
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 87.1% 200 shares
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 25% 51.13 shares
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 26% 29.9 shares
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 49.4% 200 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 51% 68.87 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 51% 131.13 shares
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?

No 79% 200 shares
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31

Yes 47% 200 shares
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 63% 49.95 shares
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 32% 200 shares
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 24% 35 shares