Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $673.26
- Potential payout
- $916
- Potential profit
- $242.74
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $68.7
Polymarket Trader
newfinance
0x646f15346418228fb8ae64c86794b32d268823c3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $692.13
- Realized PnL
- $4.28K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $15.93
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $2.07
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $2.25
Yes position
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $1.97
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 7 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $454.72
Yes position
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $359.04
Yes position
Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $358.3
Yes position
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.64
Yes position
Will "Marty Supreme" win Best Casting at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $280.25
Colorado State Rams position
Colorado State Rams vs. Saint Mary's Gaels (W)
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $255.3
Yes position
Will "Elon" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.35
Yes position
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $227.57
Yes position
Will Trump say "Two weeks" this week? (April 12)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $201.88
Yes position
Will "The Perfect Neighbour" win Best Documentary at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $164.16
No position
Will Efecto be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.58
SpaceX position
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.9
No position
Will Khamenei post 40-59 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.08
Yes position
Will "Sinners - Ludwig Göransson" win Best Score Soundtrack For Visual Media at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.74
No position
Will SpyGlass Pharma, Inc.'s market cap be between $650M and $700M at market close on IPO day?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.68
No position
Will MIA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.32
Under position
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
Yes position
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 7 awards at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $86.41
Yes position
Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $83.72
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $82.8
No position
Will there be at least 700 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.65
No position
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.93
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 29 be greater than 2,400,000?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.2
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 19 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $66.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump post "Predict" or "Prediction" or "Predicted" on Truth Social this week?No 58% 340 shares
- Will Trump post "Predict" or "Prediction" or "Predicted" on Truth Social this week?No 58% 518 shares
- Will Trump post "Predict" or "Prediction" or "Predicted" on Truth Social this week?No 89% 858 shares
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-17?No 19% 669 shares
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-17?No 12% 54 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?No 46% 760 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?No 46% 35 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?No 46% 795 shares
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-17?No 61% 723 shares
- Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 44% 40 shares
- Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 44% 160 shares
- Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 44% 208 shares