0x64708458cfb6a57C6e74acA3DB8f56aAa1c08fB9-1772515356917

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.3
Potential profit: $9.3
User PnL: -$4

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.21
Potential profit: $6.21
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.68
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Implied probability: 83.9%
Current value: $3.5
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $0.67
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $2.62
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $1.54
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $1.62

Yes position

Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Implied probability: 91.3%
Current value: $3.3
Potential payout: $3.62
Potential profit: $0.32
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $3.57
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Implied probability: 82.2%
Current value: $2.66
Potential payout: $3.24
Potential profit: $0.58
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $2.51
Potential payout: $3.17
Potential profit: $0.67
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Implied probability: 91.2%
Current value: $2.82
Potential payout: $3.09
Potential profit: $0.27
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $2.61
Potential profit: $1.84
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$1.23

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $2.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $0.4
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $2.44
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $2.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $2.17
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $2.17
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Implied probability: 90.7%
Current value: $1.96
Potential payout: $2.16
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $2.13
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $2.03
Potential payout: $2.06
Potential profit: $0.03
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.95

No position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.77

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?