Polymarket Trader

0x07589f3962e053949DE5877E52Bd958F56603CD6-1777286513202

0x6491f6d730d2edbd0ac8bf22174d59adfc8e6b21

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $31.01
Realized PnL: $7.07
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will no listed leader be out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.33
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $1.33

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $562.49
Potential profit: $562.49
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $48.78
Potential profit: $46.8
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.36
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.74

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $33.4
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $31.45
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$0.19

No position

Will anyone say "Alien" during Rick and Morty E6 S9?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $32.08
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.61
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.2
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $1.52
Potential payout: $14.39
Potential profit: $12.87
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$0.48

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $11.17
Potential payout: $13.46
Potential profit: $2.29
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $3.59

Yes position

Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $11.81
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.31

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.31
Potential profit: $8.31
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $1.53
Potential payout: $7.58
Potential profit: $6.04
Multiplier: 4.94x
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.64
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $5.05
Potential profit: $3.89
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.73
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will anyone say "Possible" or "Impossible" during Rick and Morty E6 S9?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $2.38
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.63
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $1.38

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $2.98
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $1.89
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $1.63
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $1.35
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$0.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $5.16

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2

No position

Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?

Yes 2.9% 34.48 shares
Will anyone say "Alien" during Rick and Morty E6 S9?

No 3.1% 32.26 shares
Will anyone say "Possible" or "Impossible" during Rick and Morty E6 S9?

Yes 20% 5 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 6.5% 15.38 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 4.1% 48.78 shares
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?

Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026?

No 12% 8.31 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 70% 10 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 94.1% 21.42 shares
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 33% 3.03 shares
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 39% 2.56 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 4.8% 20.83 shares