Polymarket Trader

TimothyCarr1651

@AmberleaMa85506

0x6499ba163ae00c1bb6c2ad51f90c3ff69bc905d2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $393.82
Realized PnL: $1.39K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump's approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $325
Potential profit: $325
User PnL: -$139.75

Yes position

Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $283
Potential profit: $283
User PnL: -$53.77

No position

Databricks IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $223.27
Potential payout: $269
Potential profit: $45.73
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $131.81

Yes position

Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Super Bowl?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259
Potential profit: $259
User PnL: -$44.03

Yes position

Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $229
Potential profit: $229
User PnL: -$36.64

Yes position

Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $46.53
Potential payout: $227
Potential profit: $180.47
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$146.42

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $188
Potential profit: $188
User PnL: -$5.26

Yes position

Will Oro launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $183
Potential profit: $183
User PnL: -$43.92

No position

Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $124.02
Potential payout: $156
Potential profit: $31.98
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $100.62

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147
Potential profit: $147
User PnL: -$2.79

No position

Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in November 2025?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117
Potential profit: $117
User PnL: -$83.3

No position

Will Do Kwon be sentenced to 12+ years in prison?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109
Potential profit: $109
User PnL: -$92.65

Yes position

Will Zhipu AI have a #1 AI model this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106
Potential profit: $106
User PnL: -$2.02

Yes position

Will Comcast acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91
Potential profit: $91
User PnL: -$4.55

Yes position

Syria strikes Israel by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.63
Potential profit: $81.63
User PnL: -$2.29

Yes position

Will TheDev win the Defi App trading competition?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81
Potential profit: $81
User PnL: -$2.19

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79
Potential profit: $79
User PnL: -$1.11

No position

Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76
Potential profit: $76
User PnL: -$41.8

Yes position

Will Trump visit Gaza by Dec 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76
Potential profit: $76
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Will 0xUnihax0r win the Defi App trading competition?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$2.24

Yes position

Discord IPO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $54
User PnL: -$1.13

Yes position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.05
Potential profit: $52.05
User PnL: -$4.84

Yes position

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44
Potential profit: $44
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Harmonix FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $42
User PnL: -$1.34

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.72

No position

Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $112.09

No position

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.75

No position

Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.8

No position

Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87

No position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 9 be between 2,000,000 and 2,100,000?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.76

Yes position

Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $68.05

Yes position

Will Ryan Seacrest say "Resolution" 3+ times on New Year's Rockin' Eve?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $67.34

Yes position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.6

No position

Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.07

No position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.9

No position

Will Leavitt say "President" 79+ times during the next White House press briefing?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.78

No position

Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.6

No position

Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.5

No position

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.4

No position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.29

No position

Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.5

No position

Will AOI win the Defi App trading competition?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.63

Yes position

Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 22%
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $38.35

No position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.52

No position

Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.32

No position

Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.2

No position

Will $DJT's market cap be between 4b and 4.25b

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.61

Yes position

Will Julie Emerson be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?

Yes 12% 49 shares
Octra FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 52% 5 shares
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?

No 96.2% 17 shares
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?

No 9% 49 shares
Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?

No 92.4% 11 shares
Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?

No 92.4% 18 shares
Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?

No 92.5% 56 shares
Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?

No 92.4% 72 shares
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

No 74% 748 shares
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

No 55% 326 shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

No 52% 93 shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

No 52% 312 shares