Y
Yes position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $113.47
- Potential payout
- $113.64
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- User PnL
- $88.47
Polymarket Trader
B1431012
0x649ba1a419121c49e66a06583986e23f0552dadc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $163.13
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $34.57
- Potential payout
- $106.36
- Potential profit
- $71.8
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $14.57
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $3.24
- Potential payout
- $101.3
- Potential profit
- $98.06
- Multiplier
- 31.25x
- User PnL
- -$5.63
Yes position
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $11.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $38.25
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $1.75
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $41.92
- Potential profit
- $41.81
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 10?Yes 23.9% 41.92 shares
- Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes 20% 50 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes 8.8% 101.3 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes 22% 113.64 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes 18.8% 106.36 shares