No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.03K
- Potential profit
- $5.03K
- User PnL
- -$20.8
Polymarket Trader
JohnLai
0x649eb156f46f35f014ee940da9e0ceaf08fb02c9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $49.96
- Realized PnL
- $1.79K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.29
- Potential profit
- $147.29
- User PnL
- -$28.28
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $4.38
- Potential payout
- $77.51
- Potential profit
- $73.13
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$2.58
No position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $375 end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $35.49
- Potential payout
- $61.72
- Potential profit
- $26.23
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$14.5
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Current value
- $5.91
- Potential payout
- $55.99
- Potential profit
- $50.08
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- -$2.06
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $2.17
- Potential payout
- $46.26
- Potential profit
- $44.08
- Multiplier
- 21.28x
- User PnL
- -$1.53
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.8%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $8.48
- Potential profit
- $6.47
- Multiplier
- 4.21x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $328.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.83
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $123.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.33
Yes position
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $94.2
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.97
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.25
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.04
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $375 end of June?No 81% 61.72 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?No 38.9% 77.12 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?No 19.2% 147.29 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94% 49.25 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 93% 53.76 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 92% 54.34 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 92% 7.51 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.7% 45.76 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 86% 58.13 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 78% 16.32 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 79% 63.29 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 82% 60.97 shares