Yes position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $2.01K
- Potential payout
- $4.47K
- Potential profit
- $2.46K
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.56K
Polymarket Trader
0x64a2...a495
0x64a2137b3b8f151d741bc4dc649cba5bcf96a495
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $2.55K
- Realized PnL
- -$4.05K
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $540.85
- Potential payout
- $578.14
- Potential profit
- $37.29
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $24.05
Yes position
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-09?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $497.5
- Potential profit
- $497.5
- User PnL
- -$59.7
No position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $414.58
- Potential profit
- $414.58
- User PnL
- -$49.75
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $351.18
- Potential profit
- $351.18
- User PnL
- -$59.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- -$16.46
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$131.04
Yes position
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$158.32
Yes position
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$327.48
No position
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.7%
- Multiplier
- 4.42x
- User PnL
- -$343.99
Yes position
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$392.98
Yes position
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$659.88
No position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 17-23?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$936.09
Yes position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.09K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?No 12% 414.58 shares
- Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-09?Yes 12% 497.5 shares
- Will Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?Yes 17% 351.18 shares
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?Yes 41% 958.49 shares
- Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 87.9% 1,796.75 shares
- Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-25?Yes 21% 1,559.43 shares
- OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?No 20.7% 1,635.58 shares
- Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18?Yes 38% 1,736.54 shares
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Yes 3.6% 18,658.47 shares
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Yes 5.2% 1,450.07 shares
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Yes 5% 17,208.39 shares
- Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-12?Yes 30% 3,217.43 shares