Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
Cassparius
0x64aaa1a178defbc9ced1f516558cc6d4868b9e77
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $0.48
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.27
- Potential profit
- $26.27
- User PnL
- -$2.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.16
- Potential profit
- $26.16
- User PnL
- -$4.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.97
- Potential profit
- $24.97
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.02
- Potential profit
- $10.02
- User PnL
- -$5.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.37
- Potential profit
- $9.37
- User PnL
- -$8.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETUp 90% 9.37 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETDown 59% 10.02 shares
- Solana Up or Down - February 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETUp 1% 49.99 shares
- Solana Up or Down - February 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETUp 2% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETUp 7% 14.27 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETUp 16.6% 12 shares
- Solana Up or Down - February 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETDown 3% 33.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETDown 8% 24.97 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETUp 19% 26.16 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 97.7% 26.56 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 94% 26.56 shares