Yes position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$369.99
Polymarket Trader
fiftyfifty50
0x64ac44b015599b3be944b20e263e6b67e4e7e928
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $232.4
- Realized PnL
- $900.95
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.3K
- User PnL
- -$510.08
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- User PnL
- -$864.8
No position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.72K
- Potential profit
- $1.72K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$359.5
No position
Iran strike on Qatar today?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$180
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $951.32
- Potential profit
- $951.32
- User PnL
- -$500
No position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$229.6
No position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $692.16
- Potential profit
- $692.16
- User PnL
- -$350
No position
US military action against Iran by Monday?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $641.61
- Potential profit
- $641.61
- User PnL
- -$460
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $43.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $256.5
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$37.5
Yes position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$36
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $188.9
- Potential payout
- $188.9
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $115.23
Yes position
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$16.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Yes position
Iran strike on Qatar today?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$52.02
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$240.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?Yes 39% 88.9 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 27% 300 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?Yes 39% 18.58 shares
- Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?No 32.8% 300 shares
- Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?No 32.8% 400 shares
- Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?Yes 16.9% 16 shares
- Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes 12% 300 shares
- Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?Yes 23.9% 500 shares
- Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?Yes 24% 1,000 shares
- Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes 2.5% 1,000 shares
- Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes 2.5% 1,000 shares
- Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?No 10% 375 shares