Polymarket Trader

0x64b7fACDe41701a63500741faB214b9CC374334e-1776364975653

0x64b7facde41701a63500741fab214b9cc374334e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.62
Realized PnL: -$2.29
Win rate: 64.3%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.9K
User PnL: -$1.9

No position

Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950.05
Potential profit: $950.05
User PnL: -$0.95

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $7.06
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $4.06
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $6.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.15
Potential profit: $9.15
User PnL: -$1.92

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $6.34
Potential payout: $8.46
Potential profit: $2.11
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.19
Potential profit: $6.19
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $3.22
Potential payout: $3.27
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.52

No position

Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $1.59
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will Trump say "Chair" this week?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.38
Potential profit: $2.38
User PnL: -$1

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $2.04
User PnL: -$1

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33
Potential profit: $1.33
User PnL: -$1.1

No position

Russia coup attempt in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $1.1
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

No position

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.14

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?

No 72% 8.46 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 10, 2026?

No 9% 11.11 shares
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 52% 3.27 shares
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 38% 3.77 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 6% 5.01 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 67% 5.01 shares
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 53% 3.77 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 54% 3.7 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 83% 1.33 shares
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

No 68% 2.35 shares
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?

Yes 2.3% 19.51 shares
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?

No 93.1% 1.07 shares