WalterSobchack

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.17K
Potential profit: $6.17K
User PnL: -$1.28K

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.6%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $4.67K
Potential profit: $3.61K
Multiplier: 4.43x
User PnL: -$440.91

No position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.6K
Potential profit: $3.6K
User PnL: -$927.27

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 51.9%
Current value: $1.76K
Potential payout: $3.39K
Potential profit: $1.63K
Multiplier: 1.93x
User PnL: $352.23

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $292.82
Potential payout: $2.55K
Potential profit: $2.25K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$1.19K

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $583.7
Potential payout: $2.54K
Potential profit: $1.96K
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: -$238.43

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $125.35
Potential payout: $2.18K
Potential profit: $2.05K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$335.4

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 79.4%
Current value: $1.64K
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $426.06
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $89.3

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $153.32
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.75K
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: -$294.31

Yes position

Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.81K
Potential profit: $1.81K
User PnL: -$163.97

Yes position

Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.63K
Potential profit: $1.63K
User PnL: -$869.47

No position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $1.42K
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $55.27
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $211.41

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $64.86
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: -$18.13

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $268.81
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $981.47
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$43.93

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $72.07
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.16K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$257.54

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $128.67
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$124.36

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $43.56
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: -$157.97

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $116.6
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$90.52

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
User PnL: -$54.31

Yes position

Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$167.49

Yes position

Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$298.29

No position

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$94.23

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$89.35

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $538.78
Potential payout: $953.76
Potential profit: $414.98
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94K

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73K

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $1.25K

Yes position

Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $995.95

Yes position

Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $903.9

Yes position

Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $820.53

Yes position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $463.77

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $395.59

Yes position

Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $380.4

Yes position

Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $368.08

No position

Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $366.22

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $357.25

No position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $351.87

No position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 94.2%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $343.08

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $330.71

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $328.02

Yes position

US strikes Iraq by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $314.58

Yes position

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $298.43

No position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.99

Yes position

Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $235.42

No position

Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $227.85

Yes position

Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $208.55

Yes position

Will All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?