Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $446.24
- Potential profit
- $446.24
- User PnL
- -$6
Polymarket Trader
Crytpovet
0x64bff760e7dd66c462bbb863865afe34057703cf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.96
- Realized PnL
- $100.78
- Win rate
- 28.6%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $294.12
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $232.07
- Potential profit
- $232.07
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Netanyahu out by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $1.22
- Potential payout
- $128
- Potential profit
- $126.78
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.65
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98.03
- Potential profit
- $98.03
- User PnL
- -$67.92
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $14.53
- Potential payout
- $93.75
- Potential profit
- $79.22
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 20-26?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.65
- Potential profit
- $66.65
- User PnL
- -$4.67
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $2.21
- Potential payout
- $57.47
- Potential profit
- $55.26
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$2.79
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $32.26
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.27
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.43
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.11
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.68
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Thunder
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 10?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Rams
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on November 16?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Chiefs position
Texans vs. Chiefs
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Netanyahu out by July 31?Yes 2.2% 128 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 16% 93.75 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 69.3% 98.03 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 20-26?Yes 7% 61.86 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 22?No 0.4% 214.14 shares
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 1.7% 294.12 shares
- Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?No 28.8% 104.27 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 8.7% 57.47 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 31% 32.26 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 1.3% 446.24 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes 21% 71.43 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 96.9% 28.57 shares