Polymarket Trader

bayc4303

@palmira58755

0x64c21911f958876856941f7c95678fa46ed5c527

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.86K
Realized PnL: $6.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $2.03K
User PnL: -$1.01K

Yes position

Will Trump say "Losing MAGA" this week? (April 19)

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $990
Potential profit: $990
User PnL: -$178.2

Jacksonville State Gamecocks position

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $923
Potential payout: $923
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $139.37

Yes position

Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $794
Potential profit: $794
User PnL: -$333.48

No position

Will Bernie Sanders say "Greed" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $547
Potential profit: $547
User PnL: -$164.1

Afghanistan position

ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $121.5
Potential payout: $540
Potential profit: $418.5
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $8.1

North Alabama Lions position

Central Arkansas Bears vs. North Alabama Lions

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $524
Potential profit: $524
User PnL: -$250.47

Blackburn Beavers position

Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $466
Potential profit: $466
User PnL: -$140.27

Under position

Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $430
Potential payout: $430
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $210.7

Yes position

Will SpyGlass Pharma, Inc.'s market cap be between $600M and $650M at market close on IPO day?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $360
Potential profit: $360
User PnL: -$61.2

No position

Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $157.56
Potential payout: $202
Potential profit: $44.44
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $24.24

Yes position

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.6%
Current value: $88.44
Potential payout: $186
Potential profit: $97.56
Multiplier: 2.10x
User PnL: -$1.02

Negative position

Bitcoin ETF Flows on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155
Potential profit: $155
User PnL: -$75.95

Over position

Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133
Potential profit: $133
User PnL: -$45.22

Western Carolina Catamounts position

Clemson Tigers vs. Western Carolina Catamounts

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $59
Potential payout: $118
Potential profit: $59
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $2.36

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.78
Potential profit: $77.78
User PnL: -$0.57

No position

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $13.2
Potential payout: $44
Potential profit: $30.8
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$14.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $26.18
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $1.82
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.98

Anthropic position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $21.14
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $6.86
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $2.38

No position

Will Ime Udoka win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.14

Yes position

Will Blue Moon win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will diVine launch iOS app by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.72

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $919.32

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 25, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $906.05

Yes position

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $565.12

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $471.24

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $339.3

Olympiacos B.C. position

Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $323.86

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 10 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.53

Yes position

U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.67

Yes position

Will Ceará SC win on 2026-04-01?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $212.06

Yes position

Critical Discord Incident by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.34

Yes position

Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $181.5

Yes position

Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $179.92

Yes position

Trump announces new drug boat strike by March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $175.28

Yes position

Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-02-05?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $151.94

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 9 - March 15 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.78

Yes position

Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 9%
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: $145.18

No position

Will Agomab Therapeutics NV's market cap be between $800M and $900M at market close on IPO day?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.4

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on February 10?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.6

Yes position

Will Trump say "California" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.08

No position

Will Trump say "Accords" during meeting with Netanyahu?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.24

No position

threadguy mindshare all time high by March 31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.86

No position

Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.04

Yes position

Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-02-25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

No 76% 1,011 shares
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

No 45% 285 shares
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

No 64% 443 shares
Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-03-28?

No 56% 831 shares
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

No 82% 1,011 shares
Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-03-28?

No 58% 831 shares
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

No 62% 772 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?

No 27% 202 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?

No 27% 724 shares
Canada recession before 2027?

No 60% 254 shares
Canada recession before 2027?

No 60% 32 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?

No 49% 926 shares