Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $14.02
- Potential payout
- $148.34
- Potential profit
- $134.32
- Multiplier
- 10.58x
- User PnL
- -$4.82
Polymarket Trader
PrettyFlyForAWhiteGuy
0x64d8f34e6d73cb9d3c6349ba75a51f362262daea
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.02
- Realized PnL
- $18.25
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.1
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.39
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- $3.92
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09
Yes position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- $1.61
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $1.07
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Y
Yes position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Y
Yes position
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
No position
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Ends Aug 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?Yes 11.6% 44.95 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Yes 12.2% 180 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?Yes 12.7% 193.29 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Yes 12% 180.08 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Yes 34% 56.87 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Yes 36% 56.87 shares
- Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes 28% 41.47 shares
- Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes 29% 41.5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes 41.1% 47.08 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Yes 41% 47.06 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes 43% 47.08 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Yes 43% 47.08 shares