Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $725
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $49.28K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $25
Polymarket Trader
Miojinho
0x64dbeb0a10678b1ff708320b19654c5d40a98c8e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.34K
- Realized PnL
- $69.72K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $1.51K
- Potential payout
- $10.06K
- Potential profit
- $8.55K
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$603.77
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $235
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.77K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $6.34K
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $665
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $665
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $2.53K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $2.48K
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $3.88K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $225
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $3.64K
- Potential payout
- $4.02K
- Potential profit
- $382.32
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $342.08
No position
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $2.17K
- Potential payout
- $2.68K
- Potential profit
- $509.09
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $777.09
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 51 million views on day 4?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$210
No position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$520
Y
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $111.52
- Potential payout
- $969.7
- Potential profit
- $858.18
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$324.85
No position
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$424.59
Y
Yes position
France vs. Senegal: Neither team to score first?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $446.37
- Potential profit
- $446.37
- User PnL
- -$49.1
Yes position
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $162
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $238
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$13.83
Yes position
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $47.86
- Potential payout
- $368.15
- Potential profit
- $320.29
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $8.68
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on day 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $262
- Potential profit
- $262
- User PnL
- -$3.67
No position
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.66K
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.11K
No position
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7K
No position
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.53K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 4?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.44K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.91K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.72K
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 5?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 63 million views on day 4?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 59 and 62 million views on day 3?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
No position
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 4?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
No position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $989.66
No position
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $816.02
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35.5 and 36.0 million views on day 4?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $688.92
No position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $624.16
Yes position
Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next video?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $621.25
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get 67 million or more views on day 5?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600.12
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $558.72
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $519.29
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $433.32
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 37.5 and 38.0 million views on day 5?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $422.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Spread: England (-2.5)Croatia 83% 1,000 shares
- Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Yes 91% 1,000 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?No 52% 1,000 shares
- Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?No 74% 350 shares
- France vs. Senegal: Neither team to score first?Yes 11% 50 shares
- Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes 52% 2,000 shares
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.4% 50,000 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.4% 10,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 73% 5,000 shares
- Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?Yes 44.6% 300 shares
- Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?Yes 42% 100 shares
- Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?Yes 10.6% 368.15 shares