Polymarket Trader

shjaha

0x64de9e24a4191363ea4c402a803cd2b24afbdcf0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.86K
Realized PnL: -$11.14K
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.41K
Potential payout: $8.03K
Potential profit: $6.63K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$3.94K

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $293.38
Potential payout: $3.09K
Potential profit: $2.79K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$416.9

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $157.41
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$182.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 7?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.97

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.07

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.59

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.33

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$35.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.34K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Yes 27% 1,259.26 shares
Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 40% 862.5 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 23% 3,088.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Up 70% 152.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Down 38.2% 249.91 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Up 64% 152.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Down 51% 18.92 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Down 2% 46.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Down 8% 116.72 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Up 73% 21.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Up 22% 21.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Down 39% 14.71 shares