Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $5.32
- Potential payout
- $27.27
- Potential profit
- $21.95
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Polymarket Trader
0x64f2...4a6d
0x64f24d0ab14ce8f87ac983338b933f9c5c1b4a6d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $55.23
- Realized PnL
- $102.59
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $4.58
- Potential payout
- $10.52
- Potential profit
- $5.94
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $3.92
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $5.09
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $6.85
- Potential payout
- $8.4
- Potential profit
- $1.55
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $4.33
No position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $5.41
- Potential payout
- $8.26
- Potential profit
- $2.85
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $7.33
- Potential payout
- $7.6
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $6.15
- Potential payout
- $7.59
- Potential profit
- $1.44
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $5.71
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
N
No position
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q2 da Vinci procedure growth 15%-17.5%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $2.03
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $2.38
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.59
- Potential profit
- $6.59
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.81
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $2.4
- Potential payout
- $6.5
- Potential profit
- $4.1
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $4.9
- Potential payout
- $6.32
- Potential profit
- $1.42
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $2.11
- Potential payout
- $5.09
- Potential profit
- $2.98
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.3
Yes position
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.01
Yes position
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.92
No position
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.92
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.91
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.9
No position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.9
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.84
No position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76
No position
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91
No position
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.84
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
Down position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
Yes position
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $112 Week of May 11 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
No position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of March 2 above $410?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
Yes position
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes 26% 6.5 shares
- Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q2 da Vinci procedure growth 15%-17.5%?No 37% 7 shares
- Moscow air traffic suspended by July 17?No 83% 6.33 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?Yes 27% 8 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes 22% 27.27 shares
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Yes 73% 6.59 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes 21% 7 shares
- Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?No 45% 8.8 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 71.1% 7.09 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes 53% 9.17 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 61% 8.13 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 23% 7 shares