Polymarket Trader

parlia

0x64f38c96fa1c04b30f91364ed0f4f143fbac34b6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $106.2
Realized PnL: $36.64K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Over position

South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $444
Potential profit: $444
User PnL: -$48.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.93
Potential profit: $399.93
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$123.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$110.99

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122
Potential profit: $122
User PnL: -$3.66

No position

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.4%
Current value: $90.95
Potential payout: $109.05
Potential profit: $18.1
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$16.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$16.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$34.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$11

Kiwoom Heroes position

KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. NC Dinos

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $15.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $34.75
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $0.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $29.99
User PnL: -$8.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.03
Potential profit: $28.03
User PnL: -$9.94

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.85K

Yes position

Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.42K

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81K

No position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76K

No position

Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61K

Yes position

Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59K

No position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.73K

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6K

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57K

No position

Will Lee Jun-seok win more than 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45K

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung win Seoul (서울) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

No position

Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $951.62

Yes position

Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $866.86

Yes position

Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $854.68

Yes position

Will George Simion advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $818.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $708.1

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?

Ends Jun 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $593.06

No position

Will George Simion win by over 18%?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $567.83

No position

Will Victor Ponta advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $541.53

No position

Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $471.95

No position

Will Lee Jang-woo win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $464.47

Yes position

Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $440.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $378.58

No position

Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 17-20%?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $342.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. NC Dinos

Kiwoom Heroes 30% 30.52 shares
Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Yes 99.9% 863.31 shares
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5

Over 99.9% 100 shares
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5

Over 88% 10 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 99.9% 62 shares
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 81% 187.65 shares
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 81% 152 shares
Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Yes 80.4% 243.42 shares
Yoon out of custody before 2027?

No 84% 60 shares
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 83% 180 shares
Yoon out of custody before 2027?

No 84.5% 125 shares
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 82% 1,645.97 shares