Polymarket Trader

37.2431N115.7930W

0x64f8e712f9b85424de823b06658817af81dd32f9

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $135.73
Realized PnL: $9.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.44K
Potential profit: $101.44K
User PnL: -$228.95

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.88K
Potential profit: $58.88K
User PnL: -$418.85

Yes position

Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.7K
Potential profit: $33.7K
User PnL: -$33.7

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.92K
Potential profit: $10.92K
User PnL: -$120.07

Yes position

Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.54K
Potential profit: $5.54K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $135.73
Potential payout: $4.45K
Potential profit: $4.31K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$4.27

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.96K
Potential profit: $2.96K
User PnL: -$14.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.28K
Potential profit: $2.28K
User PnL: -$108

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $1.48K
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$178.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $253.11
Potential profit: $253.11
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $252.87
Potential profit: $252.87
User PnL: -$30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $186.91
Potential profit: $186.91
User PnL: -$17.41

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.6
Potential profit: $138.6
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.36
Potential profit: $136.36
User PnL: -$15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.38
Potential profit: $115.38
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Israel strike 2 countries in October 2025?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51
Potential profit: $51
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.53
Potential profit: $28.53
User PnL: -$10.84

Yes position

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Up position

Solana Up or Down - January 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.06K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $582.92

Up position

Solana Up or Down - January 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $566.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $499.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $368.35

Down position

Solana Up or Down - January 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $365.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $322.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $266.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $252.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $65.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.33

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.21

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $0.83

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

Yes 3.1% 4,450.16 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 0.4% 18,250 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Yes 0.3% 3,333.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Up 3% 166.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Up 29% 86.21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Up 43.5% 218.48 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Up 7% 71.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Up 17% 147.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Down 20% 125 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 0.3% 16,666.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Down 1% 500 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 0.8% 3,750 shares