Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $242.81
- Potential payout
- $283.99
- Potential profit
- $41.18
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $7.82
Polymarket Trader
nlenn
0x650b7d4db791d4a1432aeb3ceeac455cdd99ebc3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $706.74
- Realized PnL
- $565.71
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $162.98
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $37.02
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $3.98
No position
Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?
Ends Apr 16, 2027- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $105.6
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $14.4
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $22.8
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $86.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $13.5
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $11.5
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $89.01
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $0.99
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $15.21
No position
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $18.2
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.8
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $6.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.85
- Potential profit
- $6.85
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.03
- Potential profit
- $4.03
- User PnL
- -$3.59
Yes position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $1.64
- Potential payout
- $3.46
- Potential profit
- $1.82
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Suns position
Thunder vs. Suns
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.33
No position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.5
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $45
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.5
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $37
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.22
Patriots position
Texans vs. Patriots
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
Yes position
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.16
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.2
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.6
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.99
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.44
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.19
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.9
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $12.1
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.75
Yes position
Pakistan strikes Afghanistan by February 27, 2026?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.2
No position
Will the Department of Homeland Security receive full-year funding by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?No 69% 120 shares
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?No 95.3% 30 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETUp 73% 6.85 shares
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?No 60% 50 shares
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 75% 84 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 82% 21.22 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 65% 110 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 87% 100 shares
- Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes 31% 85.97 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 79% 200 shares
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?Yes 79% 64 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?No 89% 60 shares