Polymarket Trader

mersoclan

0x652a26dd522a538f77589757a10f10a0e7bbfd23

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $94.68
Realized PnL: $1.12K
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on August 6?

Ends Aug 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: -$800

Down position

Solana Up or Down on August 8?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.51K
Potential profit: $1.51K
User PnL: -$757

Down position

XRP Up or Down on July 30?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $1.07K
User PnL: -$533

No position

Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $47.68
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $2.33
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.48

No position

Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $47
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $3
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12?

Ends Aug 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Predators position

Stars vs. Predators

Ends Apr 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $531

Kings position

Kings vs. Oilers

Ends Apr 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193

Magic position

Celtics vs. Magic

Ends Apr 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.2

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.95

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $1.05

No position

Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Victoria Mboko win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.5%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

76ers position

76ers vs. Knicks

Ends Apr 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$37

No position

Bitcoin above $85,000 on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$90

No position

Bitcoin above $94,000 on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Chicago White Sox position

Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians

Ends Apr 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$130

Flyers position

Blue Jackets vs. Flyers

Ends Apr 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$202

Trail Blazers position

Trail Blazers vs. Bulls

Ends Apr 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$217

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

No 99.2% 20 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

No 96.3% 23.77 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12?

Down 49% 2,100 shares
Solana Up or Down on August 8?

Down 50% 1,514 shares
Ethereum Up or Down on August 6?

Down 50% 1,600 shares
XRP Up or Down on July 30?

Down 50% 1,066 shares
Bitcoin above $94,000 on May 2?

No 45% 222.22 shares
Bitcoin above $85,000 on April 25?

No 19% 473.68 shares
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves

St. Louis Cardinals 37% 700 shares
Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Seattle Mariners 48% 481.25 shares
Stars vs. Predators

Predators 41% 900 shares
Blue Jackets vs. Flyers

Flyers 43% 469.77 shares