No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $21.35K
- Potential payout
- $26.2K
- Potential profit
- $4.85K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $128.38
Polymarket Trader
English-learner
0x652fd12eb70599ccf9030ef3cda32ae69e70eb3d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.35K
- Realized PnL
- $3.93K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $550.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $399.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C or below on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 80°F or higher on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.2
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.6
Yes position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 0.5% 315 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 96.8% 315 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 99.6% 538.8 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 99.5% 538.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on March 29?Yes 6.8% 6.43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on March 29?Yes 14% 16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on March 29?Yes 15% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on March 29?Yes 1.2% 34.12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 29?Yes 31.8% 74.69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 29?Yes 25% 28.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on March 29?No 79.2% 12.89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on March 29?No 73.1% 8.52 shares