No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $94.25
- Potential payout
- $94.25
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.47
Polymarket Trader
caw4et4atv
0x65320e0a8538c7bdcca739682859938dfd43ae78
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $124.94
- Realized PnL
- $14.64
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $6.2
- Potential payout
- $6.78
- Potential profit
- $0.58
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $4.06
- Potential payout
- $4.16
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $3.83
- Potential payout
- $3.91
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.16
- Potential payout
- $3.16
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.9
- Potential payout
- $2.9
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will BNB dip to $300 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.88
- Potential payout
- $2.88
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $1.83
- Potential payout
- $1.89
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.31
- Potential payout
- $1.31
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.31
- Potential payout
- $1.31
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $1.22
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.01
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.87
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Interstellar object confirmed aliens?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will BNB dip to $300 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Trump in jail before inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Canada join US as 51st state in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Trump says Moon Landing faked in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Megaquake in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Trump end NASA in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Giza Pyramid underground structures confirmed generators?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Is Jeffrey Epstein alive?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
US mobile/internet outages caused by Iran?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Trump abolishes IRS in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Apple dip to $180 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?No 99.9% 3.16 shares
- Xi Jinping out by June 30?No 99% 1.01 shares
- Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?No 99.5% 1.31 shares
- Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?No 99.2% 1.31 shares
- Will BNB dip to $300 in May?No 99.9% 2.88 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?No 99.9% 2.9 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.5% 94.25 shares
- Will Apple dip to $180 in April?No 99.6% 5.47 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?No 98.7% 3.09 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?No 99.9% 1 shares
- Will Google dip to $195 in April?No 99.7% 2.01 shares
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No 96.2% 4.16 shares