Polymarket Trader

ElizabethMann3608

0x653730ff6e48274089d00e16e8edf54d3b68fcec

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $487.68
Realized PnL: $2.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

OpenAI position

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $687
Potential profit: $687
User PnL: -$83.81

Yes position

Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $532
Potential profit: $532
User PnL: -$90.97

Yes position

Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 52.8%
Current value: $238.13
Potential payout: $451
Potential profit: $212.87
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: -$96.06

Yes position

Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $446
Potential profit: $446
User PnL: -$57.98

Yes position

Will Marshall Curry - SNL50: Beyond Saturday Night win Best Director of a Documentary Series or News at the 78th DGA Awards?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $442
Potential profit: $442
User PnL: -$287.3

No position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be less than 2,000,000?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $392
Potential profit: $392
User PnL: -$121.52

St. Louis Cardinals position

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $175.5
Potential payout: $351
Potential profit: $175.5
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$3.51

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 12, 10PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $317
Potential profit: $317
User PnL: -$155.33

Yes position

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $55.2
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $184.8
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$33.6

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 7?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $212
Potential profit: $212
User PnL: -$27.56

No position

Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $201
Potential profit: $201
User PnL: -$154.77

No position

Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $18
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $8.46

No position

Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $18
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will Bernie Sanders say "Percent" 15+ times during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1.08

No position

Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $0.86
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.15
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during events with Rutte?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $362.5

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $246.18

Over position

Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238.35

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.3

Over position

Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 31 be less than 2,000,000?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170

Yes position

Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $130.06

Over position

Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.75

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during National Agriculture Day events?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $88.91

Lamar Cardinals position

East Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar Cardinals

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.33

Yes position

Will Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $65.24

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ethanol" this week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $59.25

No position

Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.23

No position

Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.48

Yes position

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.64

No position

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.52

No position

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.26

No position

Up Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.22

No position

Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.54

No position

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 77%
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $24.9

No position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be between 2,000,000 and 2,100,000?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.23

Yes position

Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.04

No position

Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.25

Yes position

Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.53

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 66% 830 shares
Named storm forms before hurricane season?

No 82% 83 shares
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?

No 65% 639 shares
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 63% 830 shares
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?

No 71% 324 shares
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-03-15?

No 85% 892 shares
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-03-15?

No 85% 299 shares
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?

No 80% 964 shares
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

OpenAI 12.2% 687 shares
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-03-15?

No 86% 1,191 shares
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 15?

No 87% 303 shares
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 15?

No 84% 69 shares