No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $367.51
- Potential payout
- $386.04
- Potential profit
- $18.53
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $17.51
Polymarket Trader
YouKnowHisName
@trumpshooteth
0x65399c0992b6b9a2dc1090970f4a2eebf4e423ad
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.49K
- Realized PnL
- $1.58K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $317.41
- Potential payout
- $350.73
- Potential profit
- $33.32
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $19.41
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $305.38
- Potential payout
- $347.02
- Potential profit
- $41.64
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $55.38
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $315.91
- Potential payout
- $323.67
- Potential profit
- $7.77
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $33.36
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $293.88
- Potential payout
- $316.85
- Potential profit
- $22.97
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2.88
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $271.72
- Potential payout
- $303.6
- Potential profit
- $31.88
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.72
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $269.48
- Potential payout
- $272.62
- Potential profit
- $3.14
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $19.48
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $260.07
- Potential payout
- $261.51
- Potential profit
- $1.44
- User PnL
- $10.08
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.9%
- Current value
- $180.05
- Potential payout
- $240.55
- Potential profit
- $60.5
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$49.95
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $198.21
- Potential payout
- $220.23
- Potential profit
- $22.02
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$1.79
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $210.5
- Potential payout
- $211.45
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- User PnL
- $10.68
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $205.6
- Potential payout
- $210.55
- Potential profit
- $4.95
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $5.6
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $205.69
- Potential payout
- $206.83
- Potential profit
- $1.14
- User PnL
- $5.69
No position
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $201.62
- Potential payout
- $202.53
- Potential profit
- $0.91
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $197.16
- Potential payout
- $199.55
- Potential profit
- $2.39
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $7.16
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $180.07
- Potential payout
- $180.07
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $5.06
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $154.05
- Potential payout
- $154.75
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- User PnL
- $4.05
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $124.74
- Potential payout
- $133.42
- Potential profit
- $8.67
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $4.74
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $105.21
- Potential payout
- $109.77
- Potential profit
- $4.56
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.21
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $73.44
- Potential payout
- $73.92
- Potential profit
- $0.48
- User PnL
- $3.44
No position
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $51.79
- Potential payout
- $52
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- User PnL
- $1.87
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $814.76
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $361.36
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.53
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.48
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.82
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.32
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.72
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.46
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.18
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.21
No position
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.45
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.3
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.68
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.04
No position
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.66
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.36
No position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.07
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.01
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.53
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.88
No position
Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.91
No position
US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.9
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 92% 54.35 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 96.7% 103.41 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 90.9% 165 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 96.7% 103.41 shares
- Epstein client list released by June 30?No 92.2% 104.14 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No 99.3% 119.04 shares
- Jimmy Lai released by June 30?No 98.8% 202.53 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Yes 92.8% 107.71 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No 84% 119.05 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No 98.5% 203.05 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 86% 174.42 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 93% 161.29 shares