No position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
CityJay
@_Stophu
0x654716c3f1d98e152365627538f3e60668d082b3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $78.97
- Realized PnL
- $1.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.44K
- Potential profit
- $3.44K
- User PnL
- -$345.99
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $72.44
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$427.56
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of July 13 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $6.54
- Potential payout
- $284.2
- Potential profit
- $277.66
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$13.46
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $282.49
- Potential profit
- $282.49
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $154.33
- Potential profit
- $154.33
- User PnL
- -$24.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.64
- Potential profit
- $113.64
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.38
- Potential profit
- $53.38
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Florian Wirtz: 2+ assists
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $524.62
Up position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.87
No position
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.47
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.46
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $71.7
Y
Yes position
France vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.42
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.38
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.9
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.26
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.81
Israel position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $22.22
Yes position
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.93
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.7
BNK FEARX position
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.42
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.66
No position
Will the SBC initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.31
Yes position
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.17
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.59
No position
Will "Holy Shit" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 15)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $3.14
No position
Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of July 13 2026?Yes 7% 284.2 shares
- England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?34.1% 28.38 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 39% 1,282.05 shares
- LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsG2 Esports 99.9% 1,069.98 shares
- LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsG2 Esports 53% 450 shares
- LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsG2 Esports 53% 500 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 20% 100.04 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 9% 3,342.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETDown 44% 56.82 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETDown 44% 56.82 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 10% 100.04 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 82% 251.94 shares