Yes position
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.49K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $0.81
Polymarket Trader
Cryptostradamus
0x6553cf9121a1d5b79cef6615b4ded6311ae335e2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $109.32
- Realized PnL
- $182.84
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $997.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $2.63
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $747.38
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $8.02
- Potential payout
- $222.68
- Potential profit
- $214.67
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$9.83
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $31.32
- Potential payout
- $215.99
- Potential profit
- $184.67
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.53
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $13.6
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $146.4
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$4.66
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $152.86
- Potential profit
- $152.86
- User PnL
- -$6.91
Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128
- Potential profit
- $128
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $7
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $118
- Multiplier
- 17.86x
- User PnL
- $1.48
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$1.24
Yes position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $6.1
- Potential payout
- $101.67
- Potential profit
- $95.57
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $94.5
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$4.08
Yes position
Trump out as President by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.55
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Trump out as President by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $1.56
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $78.44
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $1
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $9.62
- Potential payout
- $62.08
- Potential profit
- $52.46
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.99
- Potential profit
- $54.99
- User PnL
- -$1.61
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$2.33
Yes position
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $5.87
- Potential payout
- $34.53
- Potential profit
- $28.66
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$1.21
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.81
- Potential profit
- $30.81
- User PnL
- -$3.72
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Current value
- $2.58
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $27.42
- Multiplier
- 11.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $1.83
- Potential payout
- $29.05
- Potential profit
- $27.22
- Multiplier
- 15.87x
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $24.99
- Potential profit
- $22.99
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.16
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.81
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.4
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.33
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.37
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.94
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Donna Vekic position
Credit One Charleston Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Donna Vekic
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.41
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Fernandez position
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Leylah Fernandez
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes 11% 9.09 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 11% 18.18 shares
- Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 3.4% 42.86 shares
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.4% 250 shares
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?Yes 6% 16.67 shares
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Yes 4.5% 22.22 shares
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.4% 250 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 4.1% 24.39 shares
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?Yes 6% 50 shares
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Yes 4.5% 66.67 shares
- Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.7% 142.86 shares
- Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.4% 500 shares