Yes position
Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $19.08
- Potential payout
- $385.39
- Potential profit
- $366.31
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $9.08
Polymarket Trader
twinkbtm296
0x6556d85a56fa4a88f628d63958ff713fa62ca546
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $139.5
- Realized PnL
- $42.42
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.6%
- Current value
- $57.9
- Potential payout
- $139.35
- Potential profit
- $81.45
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $4.08
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $49.55
- Potential payout
- $87.72
- Potential profit
- $38.17
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Y
Yes position
Will UK annual inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7% in June?
Ends Jul 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $12.97
- Potential payout
- $51.87
- Potential profit
- $38.9
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Yes position
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.2
- Potential profit
- $51.2
- User PnL
- -$2.56
Yes position
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2025 meeting?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $26.32
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Major U.S. bank bailout in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.43
- Potential profit
- $21.43
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.95
- Potential profit
- $3.95
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Bank of England rate cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.25
Yes position
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.46
Yes position
US bank failure by October 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.92
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$8.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will UK annual inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7% in June?Yes 28% 14.29 shares
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 38.7% 129.35 shares
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 38.2% 10 shares
- Will UK annual inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7% in June?Yes 26.6% 37.58 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 57% 87.72 shares
- Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 2.6% 385.39 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 27.4% 78.94 shares
- Bank of England rate cut in 2025?Yes 98% 100.23 shares
- Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?Yes 13.3% 116.27 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes 5% 100 shares
- Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2025 meeting?Yes 29% 34.48 shares
- Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?Yes 8.6% 116.28 shares