Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $17
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $183
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
LonelyDolphin
0x655e30f3400f64f3f6184b5d94901a0dffefd0dc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $800.49
- Realized PnL
- $19.69K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $76.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $23.5
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$10.5
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $100
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $99.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $90.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $9.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $98.46
- Potential payout
- $99.1
- Potential profit
- $0.64
- User PnL
- $5.42
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$35
No position
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $45
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $23.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $26.75
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $4.75
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $35
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $15
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $30
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $27.83
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $2.18
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $22.78
- Potential payout
- $24.11
- Potential profit
- $1.33
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 4-10?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 May 4-10?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $14.83
- Potential payout
- $14.83
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Long position
What will the fully diluted market cap of dYdX's token be 1 week after it starts trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9K
Yes position
Will Ukraine be a member state of the European Union by July 31, 2022?
Ends Jul 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 736323.51x
- User PnL
- $2.15K
Yes position
Will Ethereum be above $3000 on March 9, 2022?
Ends Mar 9, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 6543394.05x
- User PnL
- $1.53K
Yes position
Will Ethereum be above $3000 on March 1, 2022?
Ends Mar 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 7058719.27x
- User PnL
- $1.45K
Yes position
Will Russia have its UNSC permanent member status stripped by April 30, 2022?
Ends Apr 30, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 6078744.82x
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?
Ends Feb 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 48480936.02x
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021?
Ends Apr 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 11045224.83x
- User PnL
- $962.04
Yes position
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 2363012.74x
- User PnL
- $933.24
Y
Yes position
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022?
Ends Jun 30, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 707255.90x
- User PnL
- $839.35
Y
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 1, 2022?
Ends Jul 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 638923.93x
- User PnL
- $799.64
Y
Yes position
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil reach $150 by March 25, 2022?
Ends Mar 25, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 2596018.77x
- User PnL
- $669.75
Y
Yes position
Will NATO expand in 2022?
Ends Jan 1, 2023- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 1472623.05x
- User PnL
- $619.04
No position
Will there be more than 4 million Ukrainian refugees by March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $561.53
No position
Will $BTC break $20k before 2021?
Ends Jan 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 8999335.83x
- User PnL
- $470.62
No position
Will Marine Le Pen win 2nd place in the first round of the 2022 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 10, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 2166993.24x
- User PnL
- $446.58
N
No position
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $115 or more on March 15, 2022?
Ends Mar 15, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $429.01
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach an all-time high by November 15th?
Ends Nov 15, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $385.27
Yes position
Will ETH be above $2000 on March 1st, 2021?
Ends Mar 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 1163653.78x
- User PnL
- $368.58
Y
Yes position
Will OpenSea launch a token by the end of 2021?
Ends Dec 31, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 8543529.51x
- User PnL
- $306.43
Yes position
Will $BTC break $20k before Thanksgiving?
Ends Nov 26, 2020- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $300.97
No position
Will the AAA average US gas price still be above $4 on March 25, 2022?
Ends Mar 25, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 21407726.20x
- User PnL
- $284.95
Long position
What will the fully diluted market cap of Opensea’s token be 1 week after it starts trading?
Ends Dec 31, 2021- Implied probability
- 50.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.99x
- User PnL
- $251.77
Yes position
Will the FED set interest rates above 0.5% following their scheduled March meeting?
Ends Mar 17, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 2271625.48x
- User PnL
- $249.94
No position
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on February 24, 2021?
Ends Feb 24, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 May 4-10?No 99.5% 14.83 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 90.9% 30 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 37% 50 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No 97.8% 100 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?No 97.3% 50 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?No 98% 50 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 97.4% 100 shares
- Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?No 93% 50 shares
- Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?No 87% 100 shares
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?No 97.9% 30 shares
- Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?No 93.9% 84.1 shares
- Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?No 93.8% 15 shares