0x6566...ea1e

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $2.1K
Potential payout: $4.66K
Potential profit: $2.56K
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $726.44

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $170
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.83K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by June 30?

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $67.58
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.54K
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: -$28.84

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $11.2
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.39K
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$58.8

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$184.59

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $850B by June 30?

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $33.97
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $995.42
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: -$49.41

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $19.11
Potential payout: $980.12
Potential profit: $961.01
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$39.68

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $13.75
Potential payout: $916.47
Potential profit: $902.72
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$20.48

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $25.31
Potential payout: $903.75
Potential profit: $878.45
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$60.95

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 80,000 and 90,000 voters?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $5.1
Potential payout: $785.14
Potential profit: $780.03
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $3.37

No position

Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 100,000 and 110,000 voters?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $3.35
Potential payout: $670.89
Potential profit: $667.54
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$13.1

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $6.9
Potential payout: $656.91
Potential profit: $650.01
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$39.09

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be 120,000 voters or higher?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $626.65
Potential profit: $626.34
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.23

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $5.8
Potential payout: $610
Potential profit: $604.21
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$22.25

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $42.51
Potential payout: $447.5
Potential profit: $404.98
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$29.09

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $9.67
Potential payout: $429.99
Potential profit: $420.32
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$1.72

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 90,000 and 100,000 voters?

Implied probability: 10.9%
Current value: $40.36
Potential payout: $372
Potential profit: $331.64
Multiplier: 9.22x
User PnL: $38.32

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 110,000 and 120,000 voters?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $310.18
Potential profit: $310.03
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.94

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $10.49
Potential payout: $166.51
Potential profit: $156.02
Multiplier: 15.87x
User PnL: -$51.12

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 3% and 6%?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $151.9
Potential profit: $151.37
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.13

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $20.3
Potential payout: $139.99
Potential profit: $119.69
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $7.7

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $6.71
Potential payout: $111.77
Potential profit: $105.07
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $5.33
Potential payout: $108.71
Potential profit: $103.39
Multiplier: 20.41x
User PnL: -$3.37

Yes position

Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $210B by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.6
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$9.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?

Implied probability: 55%
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: $1.1K

LGD Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $296.79

Top Esports position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.07

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?

Implied probability: 30%
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $194.03

No position

Will Trump say "Deal" 15+ times during Cabinet meeting?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189

Kiwoom DRX position

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $171.6

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?

Implied probability: 10.2%
Multiplier: 9.85x
User PnL: $148

EDward Gaming position

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.91

BNK FEARX position

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.57

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?

Implied probability: 55%
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: $91.19

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?

Implied probability: 45%
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $90.48

MOUZ position

Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.22

Dplus KIA position

LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $64.14

TheMongolz position

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.6

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

LNG Esports position

LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-In

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $47.36

Yes position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during Cabinet meeting?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

No position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Cabinet meeting?