Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $398.2
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Polymarket Trader
wl15b
0x6567d7ff27efe42f1b1bc0c94ced5179ccb0cbde
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $22.67
- Realized PnL
- $65.28
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Current value
- $10.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $89.95
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.95
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.5
- Potential profit
- $88.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $67.03
- Potential profit
- $66.86
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.29
- Potential payout
- $63.94
- Potential profit
- $63.65
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $9.44
- Potential payout
- $48.8
- Potential profit
- $39.35
- Multiplier
- 5.17x
- User PnL
- $2.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $33.68
- Potential profit
- $33.66
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $31.71
- Potential profit
- $31.7
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $15.83
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $15.87
- Potential profit
- $15.87
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.78
- Potential profit
- $12.78
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $26.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 30?Yes 99.9% 27.7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 30?Yes 1% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on June 30?Yes 1.5% 67.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 30?Yes 3.2% 31.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 30?Yes 6% 16.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 30?Yes 1.6% 63.94 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 30?Yes 3% 33.68 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 30?Yes 3.6% 27.7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 29?Yes 0.1% 26.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 30?Yes 6.3% 15.87 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 29?Yes 0.1% 49.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 29?Yes 2% 49.88 shares