Polymarket Trader

TylerOrtiz4021

0x656c17cb6045ebcbf7981459dc4f440e0db8af94

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $966.4
Realized PnL: $4.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Under position

New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $430.26
Potential payout: $606
Potential profit: $175.74
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $36.36

No position

Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $388.8
Potential payout: $540
Potential profit: $151.2
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $37.8

Yes position

Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $3.2
Potential payout: $183
Potential profit: $179.8
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$90.13

Anthropic position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $132.88
Potential payout: $176
Potential profit: $43.12
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $41.36

Yes position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $11.26
Potential payout: $20.1
Potential profit: $8.84
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $2.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will "The Faces of Death" score at least 68 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $454.08

Yes position

Will AD Pasto win on 2026-04-11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $338.8

Over position

Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $330.01

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $312.44

Yes position

Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 19, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $293.58

Yes position

Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $286.44

Yes position

Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour finish second in the Gorton and Denton by-election?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $279.99

Yes position

Will Igor Jesus score the most goals in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262.12

Yes position

CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.3

No position

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $223.09

Yes position

Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.66

Over position

Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.36

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $190.37

No position

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 14, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.68

No position

Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.37

Yes position

Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.63

Over position

Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.06

Yes position

Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.5

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.74

No position

Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 85-89 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.93

Yes position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.85

No position

Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.17

No position

Will "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.89

Yes position

Will there be at least 1450 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.69

No position

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $80.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

New pandemic in 2026?

Yes 10% 61 shares
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

No 67% 1,005 shares
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score

No 22% 589 shares
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score

No 22% 118 shares
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score

No 22% 129 shares
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score

No 22% 140 shares
Will "The Faces of Death" score at least 68 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

No 68% 1,419 shares
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score

No 84% 976 shares
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?

No 92% 299 shares
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?

No 92% 349 shares
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

No 39% 30 shares
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

No 39% 98 shares