Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $572.87
- Potential payout
- $3.19K
- Potential profit
- $2.62K
- Multiplier
- 5.57x
- User PnL
- -$27.12
Polymarket Trader
770ny26hay
0x658403598e8a1552c5530085fe54bcc1fe6dd1c6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.19K
- Realized PnL
- $1.34K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.6%
- Current value
- $508.25
- Potential payout
- $2.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.85K
- Multiplier
- 4.64x
- User PnL
- $8.26
Y
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $82.78
- Potential payout
- $108.92
- Potential profit
- $26.14
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $34.78
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.1%
- Current value
- $30.59
- Potential payout
- $108.7
- Potential profit
- $78.11
- Multiplier
- 3.55x
- User PnL
- $0.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.66
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.6
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.89
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.37
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $106.9
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $72.41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.07
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.66
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.58
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.92
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.7
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.2
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.74
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.02
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.92
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.28
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 150 (High)?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?Yes 44.3% 87.99 shares
- Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 27% 146.43 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?Yes 43% 20.93 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 29.9% 28.57 shares
- US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No 54% 2.22 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 35% 28.57 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 27.6% 108.7 shares
- Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 28% 146.43 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.8% 3,191.49 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 21.2% 2,358.49 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.7% 6,838.52 shares
- US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No 45% 2.22 shares