Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.06K
- Potential profit
- $10.06K
- User PnL
- -$200
Polymarket Trader
0xtuna
0x6584cd53d4d57f9e351555b5e876e4ca5de03843
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.18K
- Realized PnL
- $12.96K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$258.56
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.73K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $270
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $390
No position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $609.25
- Potential profit
- $609.25
- User PnL
- -$97.48
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$90
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $499.45
- Potential payout
- $500.2
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- User PnL
- $74.28
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $493.94
- Potential payout
- $500.19
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $163.81
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$335
No position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $431.36
- Potential payout
- $435.94
- Potential profit
- $4.58
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $244.2
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$134
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$108
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$53.7
Yes position
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$76
No position
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.1%
- Current value
- $28.18
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $171.82
- Multiplier
- 7.10x
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$96
No position
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $196.58
- Potential profit
- $196.58
- User PnL
- -$84.53
No position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $195.92
- Potential profit
- $195.92
- User PnL
- -$62.69
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115.38
- Potential profit
- $115.38
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$41
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.82
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.85
- Potential profit
- $50.85
- User PnL
- -$30
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
No position
Will GPT-5 be released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $907.95
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $835.59
No position
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $819.88
No position
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $743.19
No position
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $649.85
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $641.16
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $554.85
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $553.85
Yes position
WLFI market cap (FDV) >$16B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $552.26
No position
Will John Wasnock win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $531.95
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?
Ends Aug 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $495.23
No position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $479
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $460.21
No position
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345.17
No position
Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.52
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.34
No position
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.53
No position
Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.73
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
No position
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.33
No position
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.88
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Yes 26% 115.38 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes 59% 50.85 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Yes 51% 58.82 shares
- Will the announcers say "Red Card" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 75.9% 159.8 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes 70% 42.86 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?No 4.8% 3,000 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?No 5.8% 2,000 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Yes 71% 376 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Yes 72% 1,000 shares
- Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?No 87.9% 35.94 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 52% 100 shares
- Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24?No 47% 200 shares