Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.19
- Potential profit
- $47.19
- User PnL
- -$2.69
Polymarket Trader
0xd469ce76ca266dc2b84b2782a1879e6e0743492d
0x6591e1bf424f62d785763651fe208ac2845e4c43
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$84.46
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.5
No position
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.45
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$115.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes 92% 77.9 shares
- Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No 7% 1,023.83 shares
- Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No 18.3% 1,023.83 shares
- Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes 73% 256.53 shares
- Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes 69% 256.54 shares
- Lighter Airdrop on December 29?No 86% 165.22 shares
- Lighter Airdrop on December 29?No 77% 129.79 shares
- Lighter Airdrop on December 29?No 81% 35.43 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Yes 5.7% 47.19 shares
- Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No 15% 17.95 shares
- Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No 13.9% 17.95 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 60% 2.48 shares