NedStark

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $36.21
Potential payout: $4.02K
Potential profit: $3.99K
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$33.87

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $33.03
Potential payout: $3.48K
Potential profit: $3.44K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$34.75

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $33.23
Potential payout: $3.16K
Potential profit: $3.13K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$16.34

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $15.47
Potential payout: $2.21K
Potential profit: $2.19K
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$7.23

Yes position

Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $4.45
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.27K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $16.56
Potential payout: $602.06
Potential profit: $585.5
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$25.66

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $40.38
Potential payout: $409.99
Potential profit: $369.61
Multiplier: 10.15x
User PnL: -$5.05

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 22.1%
Current value: $55.51
Potential payout: $251.75
Potential profit: $196.24
Multiplier: 4.54x
User PnL: -$8.35

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$4.74

Yes position

Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?

Ends Jan 12, 2027

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $3.71
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $26.3
Multiplier: 8.10x
User PnL: -$1.49

Yes position

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?

Ends Jan 12, 2027

Implied probability: 38.3%
Current value: $10.96
Potential payout: $28.61
Potential profit: $17.65
Multiplier: 2.61x
User PnL: $4.18

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$11.8

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4.6

Yes position

Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 2 Brazil?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$4.8

Ghana position

Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$2.53

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $116.62

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $81.39

Yes position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $25.08

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.9

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $23.89

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $19.44

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.09

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.57

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $11.23

Yes position

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.93

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.59

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 3.6%
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: $9.18

Yes position

Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.7

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.2

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $7.83

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $3.03

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 11.4%
Multiplier: 8.81x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $1.77

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.29

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 6.9%
Multiplier: 14.49x
User PnL: $1.19

No position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 78%
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?