Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Current value
- $1.6K
- Potential payout
- $19.18K
- Potential profit
- $17.58K
- Multiplier
- 11.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.58K
Polymarket Trader
MagicEightBall
0x65bf3bfd2cd0506e8e41752a01e7af7817c94b91
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.41K
- Realized PnL
- $41.49K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship on December 25?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.55K
- Potential profit
- $16.55K
- User PnL
- -$33.75
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.78K
- Potential profit
- $13.78K
- User PnL
- -$19.34
Yes position
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $113.97
- Potential payout
- $12.66K
- Potential profit
- $12.55K
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- $28.7
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $2.58K
- Potential payout
- $12K
- Potential profit
- $9.42K
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $140.1
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.49K
- Potential profit
- $11.49K
- User PnL
- -$647.7
Yes position
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $72.68
- Potential payout
- $11.18K
- Potential profit
- $11.11K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.03K
- Potential profit
- $9.03K
- User PnL
- -$57.99
Yes position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $455.2
- Potential payout
- $8.35K
- Potential profit
- $7.9K
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$452.29
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.14K
- Potential profit
- $8.14K
- User PnL
- -$1.45K
No position
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.74K
- Potential profit
- $6.74K
- User PnL
- -$53.82
Yes position
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $596.13
- Potential payout
- $6.62K
- Potential profit
- $6.03K
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$1.63K
Yes position
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$189.99
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $990
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $5.01K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$460.78
Yes position
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$285.89
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.44K
- Potential profit
- $4.44K
- User PnL
- -$8.89
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.08K
- Potential profit
- $4.08K
- User PnL
- -$137.7
No position
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.56K
- Potential profit
- $3.56K
- User PnL
- -$61.76
Yes position
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.44K
- Potential profit
- $3.44K
- User PnL
- -$55.39
Yes position
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- User PnL
- -$13.33
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.86K
- Potential profit
- $2.86K
- User PnL
- -$655.31
No position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.22K
- User PnL
- -$13.33
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.22K
- User PnL
- -$22.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $11.82K
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.13K
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57K
Yes position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19K
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86K
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Yes position
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?
Ends Aug 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
Yes position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $912.35
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $900.22
Yes position
More EU sanctions on Russia by October 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $844.89
Yes position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $828.88
No position
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $796.32
No position
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $777.25
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $607.89
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $559.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 13.4% 8.91 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 13.4% 173.1 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 12.7% 1,000.04 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 15.1% 1,000 shares
- Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by June 30?Yes 48.1% 205.31 shares
- Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by June 30?Yes 98.4% 133.33 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 18% 4,000 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 18% 2,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 31% 500 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 19.9% 500 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 19.3% 500 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 19% 46 shares