Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.3%
- Current value
- $496.79
- Potential payout
- $2.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- Multiplier
- 4.30x
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Polymarket Trader
Netpants
0x65e03c98618dc23dd78e2c87432e44694fcc23b6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.89K
- Realized PnL
- -$550.02
- Win rate
- 18.2%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $56.03
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $189.03
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $85.31
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $539.69
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$14.69
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $115.5
- Potential payout
- $584.8
- Potential profit
- $469.3
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $15.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.62
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.29
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$26.57
Yes position
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- -$85.93
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$528.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 23.4% 2,136.75 shares
- Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?Yes 2.9% 485.22 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 20% 367.14 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 80.6% 284.9 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes 62% 161.29 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 27.2% 367.14 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 55% 181.82 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes 73% 136.99 shares
- Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?Yes 20.6% 485.23 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 80.3% 1,245.05 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETUp 19.6% 510.4 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETUp 22% 129 shares