Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Dog" during Medal of Honor ceremony on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.7
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$13.7
Polymarket Trader
IcarusTrading
0x65e53eb81aa01db5cf9cd8a631d104f2aeed1b1a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $68.69
- Realized PnL
- $81.82
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Medal of Honor ceremony on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $19.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $11.3
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hottest" during June 24 Rally?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
N
No position
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during Medal of Honor ceremony on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $19.69
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $9.3
Yes position
Will Trump say "Arch" or "Ballroom" during June 24 Rally?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $7.82
- Potential payout
- $17.77
- Potential profit
- $9.95
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $2.13
N
No position
Will Trump say "Peace" during Medal of Honor ceremony on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $5.91
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.45
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Medal of Honor ceremony on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $4.9
- Potential profit
- $4.83
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$2.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will Dr. Oz say "TrumpRx" or "TrumpRx.gov" during the press briefing?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.8
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Soybean" during Wisconsin events?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6
No position
Will Hegseth say "CIA" during press conference?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
N
No position
Will Oracle say "Tariff" during earnings call?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Yes position
Will Hegseth say "Israeli" or "Israel" during press conference?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.07
No position
Will Trump say "Autism" during Healthcare Affordability Events?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
No position
Will Trump say "Kamala" during TPUSA events on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
Will Trump say "TrumpRX" during Healthcare Affordability Events?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.6
Yes position
Will Trump say "Lee" or "Zeldin" during coal announcement?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
Yes position
Will Trump or Melania say "250" or "250th" during the Congressional Picnic?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Egg" during Wisconsin events?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during NYC rally?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during dinner with Dutch royals?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Will Trump say "China" during dinner with Dutch royals?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during Wisconsin events?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
No position
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during dinner with Dutch royals?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will King Charles say "Starmer" during State Opening?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will Trump say "Biden" during dinner with Dutch royals?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Trump say "NBA" during NCAA National Champions remarks on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during dinner with Dutch royals?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during dinner with Dutch royals?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Will King Charles say "Healthcare" during State Opening?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Hegseth say "Israeli" or "Israel" during press conference?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump say "Ukraine" during meeting with French President?Yes 2% 4 shares
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during meeting with French President?No 63% 5 shares
- Will Trump say "Fake News" during meeting with French President?No 62% 10 shares
- Will Oracle say "Tariff" during earnings call?No 73% 20 shares
- Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during June Press Conference?Yes 61% 6.99 shares
- Will Trump say "Egg" during Wisconsin events?Yes 70% 20 shares
- Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during events in Rockland County?No 55% 20 shares
- Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during events in Rockland County?Yes 36% 5 shares
- Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during events in Rockland County?Yes 36% 5 shares
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events in Rockland County?Yes 40.2% 20 shares
- Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during events in Rockland County?No 58% 20 shares
- Will Trump or Melania say "250" or "250th" during the Congressional Picnic?Yes 79% 20 shares