No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $29.9K
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $105
- User PnL
- $510.39
Polymarket Trader
manekineko
@0x8483
0x660622caad009a8cc1f38038c0913be658621338
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $55.21K
- Realized PnL
- $82.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $19.99K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.49K
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $11.25
- User PnL
- $77.44
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $493.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $168.75
No position
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $339.97
- Potential payout
- $499.96
- Potential profit
- $159.99
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.51K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.58K
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63K
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26K
Yes position
Plasma >$6B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.57K
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86K
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $2.82K
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43K
No position
Will Pump.fun launch a token in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37K
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32K
Yes position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.31K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
Yes position
Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92K
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81K
Yes position
Doge ETF approved in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71K
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69K
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 98.9% 753 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No 99.3% 9,997.48 shares
- Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?No 39.9% 557.97 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 48.7% 499.99 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?No 11.9% 236.89 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?No 8.6% 225.97 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?Yes 0.6% 50 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99.6% 7,179.03 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No 2.3% 5 shares
- Ben Pasternak jailed?Yes 9.2% 100 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No 99.1% 196.92 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in May?No 98.3% 31.25 shares