Polymarket Trader

0x6608f808d4CFf3e5fE7DC6aCf5e5D0bA862e35D3-1767865975026

0x6608f808d4cff3e5fe7dc6acf5e5d0ba862e35d3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $294.5
Realized PnL: $8.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.43K
Potential profit: $3.43K
User PnL: -$740.19

Yes position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.19K
Potential profit: $3.19K
User PnL: -$270.4

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.53K
Potential profit: $2.53K
User PnL: -$550

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$260

Yes position

Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $1.66K
User PnL: -$561.25

Yes position

Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.59K
Potential profit: $1.59K
User PnL: -$859.99

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$662

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $211.5
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $688.5
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$145.5

Yes position

Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $871.68
Potential profit: $871.68
User PnL: -$11.32

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$264

Yes position

Iran strike on Qatar by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $695
Potential profit: $695
User PnL: -$53.65

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $69
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $531
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$99

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214.8
Potential profit: $214.8
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$116

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5K

Yes position

Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $951.07

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $906.4

No position

US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $880.02

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $464.54

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.64

No position

US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.63

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.03

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.05

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.45

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.29

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.87

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.37

No position

Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

No position

Will UK strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.33

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.5

Yes position

Iran strike on Qatar by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.38

Yes position

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $9.39

No position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.38

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.46

Yes position

Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

Ends Oct 27, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $5.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 0.4% 2,000 shares
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 0.5% 2,000 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Yes 41% 200 shares
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Yes 10% 1,000 shares
Iran leadership change by June 30?

Yes 14% 1,398.43 shares
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Yes 8% 10 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Yes 13% 1,000 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 47% 220 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Yes 28% 600 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Yes 13% 1,000 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 83% 285 shares
Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 34% 469.35 shares