Polymarket Trader

Jaded85

@jaded85065

0x660ffb6b6c37d3d152093623f833628fe024ec30

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $847.8
Realized PnL: $23.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.1%
Current value: $346.36
Potential payout: $1.82K
Potential profit: $1.47K
Multiplier: 5.25x
User PnL: $46.37

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $248.8
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.55K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$51.2

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$100

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $189
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $111
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $107

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $63.24
Potential payout: $221.99
Potential profit: $158.75
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$14.45

Tampa Bay Rays position

Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $185.19
User PnL: -$100

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.69
Potential profit: $172.69
User PnL: -$33

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.37
Potential profit: $154.37
User PnL: -$10

Cavaliers position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $140
User PnL: -$102.2

Algeria position

Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.73
Potential profit: $133.73
User PnL: -$111

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.51
Potential profit: $130.51
User PnL: -$77

Switzerland position

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.33
Potential profit: $128.33
User PnL: -$77

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.92
Potential profit: $118.92
User PnL: -$44

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.67
Potential profit: $116.67
User PnL: -$77

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $109.62
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$68.71

Yes position

Ecuador to score first vs. Curaçao?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.03
Potential profit: $107.03
User PnL: -$88.83

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$77

Yes position

Harry Kane: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$65

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.06
Potential profit: $97.06
User PnL: -$33

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 5?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$66

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$10

Pistons position

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.67
Potential profit: $58.67
User PnL: -$44

New York Yankees position

New York Yankees vs. New York Mets

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.89
Potential profit: $57.89
User PnL: -$22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "Springfield" at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.48K

Yes position

$BTC dips below $50k before September?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81K

Yes position

Will $BTC reach 70k in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67K

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "Colorado" during Pennsylvania rally?

Ends Aug 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

Yes position

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Yes position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $969.17

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $686.26

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $641.06

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 180 or more times?

Ends Aug 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $630.63

Yes position

Pavel Durov released in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $620

Syracuse position

Miami (FL) vs. Syracuse

Ends Dec 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $581.2

Yes position

Bitcoin new all time high in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $580

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $569.48

Colts position

Colts vs. Jets

Ends Nov 24, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $566.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $516.96

Yes position

$BTC dips below $55k before September?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $502

Yes position

Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" during Wednesday speech?

Ends Aug 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $491.89

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $445.18

No position

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $421.48

Yes position

Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $371.18

Yes position

Will Trump say "French fries" during North Carolina rally October 22?

Ends Oct 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $345.2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $317.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 25?

Down 24% 100 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 25?

Down 29% 200 shares
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 3.5

Under 97% 20 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 98.9% 444 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 22-28?

Yes 70% 475.71 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 70% 110 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 70% 142.86 shares
Harry Kane: 1+ goals

Yes 65% 100 shares
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5

Over 94% 88 shares
Will Oklahoma win the 2026 College World Series?

Yes 97.9% 58.98 shares
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?

Yes 62% 20 shares
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?

Yes 62% 20 shares