Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $1.38K
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $65.02
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $174.72
Polymarket Trader
0x6624...4cd1
0x66248f941870d47d0845da7a227c0b099d6f4cd1
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $2.17K
- Realized PnL
- $417.85
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $296.71
- Potential payout
- $467.25
- Potential profit
- $170.55
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $2.34
Manel Kape position
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $220.82
- Potential payout
- $220.82
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $86.12
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $71.28
- Potential payout
- $76.04
- Potential profit
- $4.75
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $63.11
- Potential profit
- $62.04
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- -$31.76
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $50.58
- Potential payout
- $55.28
- Potential profit
- $4.7
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.9%
- Current value
- $11.36
- Potential payout
- $43.96
- Potential profit
- $32.6
- Multiplier
- 3.87x
- User PnL
- -$23.46
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $30.04
- Potential payout
- $38.27
- Potential profit
- $8.23
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $29.79
- Potential payout
- $29.96
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $17.23
- Potential payout
- $24.27
- Potential profit
- $7.04
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.67
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.8%
- Current value
- $18.13
- Potential payout
- $21.91
- Potential profit
- $3.78
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $3.21
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $12.44
- Potential payout
- $17.16
- Potential profit
- $4.72
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $2.49
No position
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Current value
- $10.33
- Potential payout
- $12.99
- Potential profit
- $2.66
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $10.26
- Potential payout
- $10.47
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $10.09
- Potential payout
- $10.44
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.96
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $42.21
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.82
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.68
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.69
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.48
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $23.97
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.25
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.88
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.44
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.13
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $7.8
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.08
Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.49
No position
Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.98
Yes position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.66
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $5.03
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.64
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $4.61
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $3.29
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.03
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Yes 4.2% 753.45 shares
- Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Yes 78% 50.83 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 14% 295.34 shares
- Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Yes 73% 339.29 shares
- Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Yes 61% 220.67 shares
- Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Yes 47% 142.66 shares
- UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)Manel Kape 61% 220.82 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes 63% 467.25 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 67% 295.34 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 90.2% 62.69 shares
- Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No 92.7% 27.13 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?No 99.3% 32.41 shares