Something position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$1.64K
Polymarket Trader
ondra123
0x662ce90c51d613a2975a536272e477ab7c38bfe7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.29K
- Realized PnL
- $118.66K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Megaquake by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $4.03K
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $472.5
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $67.5
Something position
Nothing Ever Happens: March
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.03K
- Potential profit
- $2.03K
- User PnL
- -$1.12K
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.6K
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $0.8
- User PnL
- $88.24
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $357.75
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $92.25
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$6.25
Something position
Nothing Ever Happens: July
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $103.5
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $346.5
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $198.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $1.1
- User PnL
- $10.1
No position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.95
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$34.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: January
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.64K
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: June
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.87K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.49K
No position
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.1K
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: August
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6K
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55K
Yes position
Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32K
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.53K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.37K
Yes position
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?
Ends Aug 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.28K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99K
Something position
Nothing Ever Happens: February
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.63K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3K
Yes position
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86K
No position
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6K
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4K
No position
Israel strikes Syria by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33K
Something position
Nothing Ever Happens: February
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 80% 250 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: JulySomething 23% 250 shares
- Megaquake by July 31?No 88% 4,500 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 82% 200 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: JulySomething 21.8% 200 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?Yes 11% 99.99 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No 97% 300 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No 97% 2,900 shares
- Iran leadership change by May 31?No 92% 3,200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 80% 3,200 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: MaySomething 22.5% 3,200 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No 97.4% 400 shares