0x664f...868c

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $161.29
Potential payout: $161.29
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $61.29

Cleveland Cavaliers position

NBA Summer League: Indiana Pacers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.64
Potential profit: $63.64
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $19.96
Potential payout: $25.75
Potential profit: $5.79
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $21.74
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $20.05
Potential payout: $21.37
Potential profit: $1.31
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $20.27
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $19.91
Potential payout: $20.81
Potential profit: $0.91
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 6-12?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $15.58
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $0.08

Atlanta Braves position

Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.85
Potential profit: $10.85
User PnL: -$6

Toronto Raptors position

NBA Summer League: Toronto Raptors vs. Boston Celtics

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $9.61
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5

Pittsburgh Pirates position

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $4.78
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $4.15
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $6.62
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $0.08

San Francisco Giants position

Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.65
Potential profit: $7.65
User PnL: -$6.57

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $2.98
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0.02

Oklahoma City Thunder position

NBA Summer League: LA Lakers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08
Potential profit: $2.08
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1.03
Potential profit: $0.03
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Spain position

Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $273

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.05

Toronto Blue Jays position

Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.86

Texas Rangers position

Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.58

paiN position

Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs paiN (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.57

Los Angeles Angels position

Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.11

Los Angeles Sparks position

Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.07

Texas Rangers position

Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.31

Boston Red Sox position

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.96

New York Yankees position

New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96

Chicago White Sox position

Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Memphis Grizzlies position

NBA Summer League: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Chicago Bulls

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Cincinnati Reds position

Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Cleveland Guardians position

Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Sharks position

Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BESTIA (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

LA Lakers position

NBA Summer League: LA Lakers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 30.5%
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$4.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

San Diego Padres position

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres