Polymarket Trader

0x6661...a18d

0x6661b56f8bd20f830625fe6e1da5d24e3173a18d

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $419.95
Realized PnL: -$10.48
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 74.3%
Current value: $133.23
Potential payout: $179.43
Potential profit: $46.2
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $99.34
Potential profit: $98.25
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $39.99
Potential payout: $98.73
Potential profit: $58.74
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$4.44

No position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $87.28
Potential payout: $90.4
Potential profit: $3.12
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.77

No position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $32.17
Potential payout: $77.53
Potential profit: $45.36
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$3.49

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $11.77
Potential payout: $75.92
Potential profit: $64.15
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$2.66

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $22.5
Potential payout: $39.83
Potential profit: $17.33
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$2.59

No position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $29.33
Potential payout: $34.5
Potential profit: $5.18
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $11.67
Potential payout: $28.82
Potential profit: $17.15
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$1.01

No position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $19.67
Potential payout: $20.19
Potential profit: $0.53
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $14.11
Potential payout: $16.9
Potential profit: $2.79
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.76

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 59.7%
Current value: $5.97
Potential payout: $10.01
Potential profit: $4.04
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 81.8%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $6.73
Potential profit: $1.23
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $4.68
Potential payout: $4.92
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1.68
Potential profit: $0.68
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.13

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $5.12

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.8%
Multiplier: 3.88x
User PnL: $2.78

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5%
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 59.5%
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.6%
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$0.18

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 84.1%
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$4.82

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$21.42

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 96% 50.37 shares
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 5.3% 52.25 shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 87.4% 22.63 shares
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 96.1% 23.2 shares
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 5.2% 52.25 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 20.5% 46.62 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 18.5% 108.59 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 31.4% 165.22 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 75.8% 18.4 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 19% 75.92 shares
Will Trump visit China by May 31?

No 5% 20 shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 91.2% 34.84 shares