Polymarket Trader

liulian

0x666b8ad3f3158a191306f69438555e3e1a05308b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $45.74
Realized PnL: $164.67
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.21
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.36

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.48
Potential profit: $142.48
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.27
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.35

No position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$5.05

No position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $8.17
Potential payout: $44.15
Potential profit: $35.98
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.45
Potential profit: $42.45
User PnL: -$5.17

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.35
Potential profit: $36.35
User PnL: -$2.36

No position

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $1.48
Potential payout: $35.74
Potential profit: $34.26
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.6%
Current value: $2.66
Potential payout: $35.24
Potential profit: $32.58
Multiplier: 13.25x
User PnL: -$2.71

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.29
Potential profit: $34.29
User PnL: -$4.7

No position

Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.37
Potential profit: $31.37
User PnL: -$4.9

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.2%
Current value: $3.65
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $26.36
Multiplier: 8.23x
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $5.38
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $19.63
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$1.03

No position

Will "The Odyssey" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $0.84
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.16
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $10.42
Potential payout: $19.5
Potential profit: $9.08
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $3.42

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 23.7%
Current value: $4.58
Potential payout: $19.37
Potential profit: $14.79
Multiplier: 4.23x
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $1.33
Potential payout: $18.87
Potential profit: $17.54
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Troy Jackson win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.13
Potential profit: $18.13
User PnL: -$7.75

Yes position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $5.94
Potential payout: $17.74
Potential profit: $11.8
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$0.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Maple Leafs position

Maple Leafs vs. Ducks

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.54

Yes position

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.73

Clippers position

Lakers vs. Clippers

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.46

Wizards position

Trail Blazers vs. Wizards

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.1

Rockets position

Spurs vs. Rockets

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.65

Vikings position

Vikings vs. Cowboys

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.83

Mavericks position

Warriors vs. Mavericks

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.58

Panthers position

Panthers vs. Lightning

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.64

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $5.5

Colombia position

Spread: Colombia (-1.5)

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25

Under position

Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.11

Monte position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.98

No position

Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.49

Tampa Bay Rays position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

B8 position

Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

No position

Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

BIG position

Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Norway leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $1.54

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?

No 37.7% 2.48 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Yes 7% 2.5 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Yes 7% 10 shares
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?

No 44% 1.4 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?

Yes 28% 3.57 shares
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?

No 82% 2.58 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?

Yes 28% 10 shares
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

Yes 44% 2 shares
US strike on Cuba by December 31?

No 62% 10.72 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

Yes 41% 10 shares
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?

No 63% 5 shares