Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $14.19
- Potential payout
- $230.79
- Potential profit
- $216.6
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$4.27
Polymarket Trader
0x7a14F5fEC4838bA79cC19B283FDaB6D5E48afAaf-1771908650263
0x6682280a29ce69eb30ed7487b0a85e07492f8400
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $64.65
- Realized PnL
- $5.24
- Win rate
- 16.7%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.7
- Potential profit
- $92.7
- User PnL
- -$19.47
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $28.2
- Potential payout
- $28.2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $5.08
Yes position
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.6
- Potential profit
- $21.6
- User PnL
- -$1.94
Yes position
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $21
- User PnL
- -$2.08
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $18.7
- Potential profit
- $17.68
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.7
- Potential profit
- $13.7
- User PnL
- -$4.79
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 77.8%
- Current value
- $10.57
- Potential payout
- $13.6
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84.7%
- Current value
- $10.67
- Potential payout
- $12.6
- Potential profit
- $1.93
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.57
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.2%
- Multiplier
- 13.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.24
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Multiplier
- 5.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.5% 11.6 shares
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 9.9% 10.5 shares
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 9.9% 10.5 shares
- Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes 5.6% 17.39 shares
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes 3.7% 18.7 shares
- Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes 6.9% 17.39 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.6% 11.6 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 5.2% 13.9 shares
- Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Yes 14% 7.4 shares
- Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No 16% 10.19 shares
- Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Yes 14% 7.4 shares
- Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No 17% 10.19 shares