Yes position
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $837.8
- Potential payout
- $2.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- $503.1
Polymarket Trader
0x6686E400321592Ef47d4936Ef4Bc89423CE8e11f-1770708681068
@MaraCakeHotSale
0x6686e400321592ef47d4936ef4bc89423ce8e11f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.34K
- Realized PnL
- $606.1
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $505.23
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $581.29
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $255.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $251.64
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $172.76
Yes position
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $155.63
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.39
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 61% 1,558.05 shares
- Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 15% 818.67 shares
- Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 14% 714.52 shares
- Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 13% 860.52 shares
- Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes 23% 1,086.52 shares
- Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 51% 1,558.05 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?Yes 5.4% 1,612.29 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?Yes 6.2% 1,612.3 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes 71.3% 251.14 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes 61.1% 386.08 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes 21.9% 631.32 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes 77.1% 251.14 shares